Detroit 8, Bellarmine 12

Detroit played a pretty even first half with Bellarmine, then the Knights dominated most of the third quarter before a late Titan comeback. In the end though, there wasn’t a huge threat of stealing the win, and Bellarmine looked the better team throughout.

Tempo Free

From the official box score, a look at the tempo-free stats:

Bellarmine 2014
Bellarmine Detroit
Faceoff Wins 13 Faceoff Wins 8
Clearing 20-25 Clearing 17-25
Possessions 46 Possessions 38
Goals 12 Goals 8
Offensive Efficiency .261 Offensive Efficiency .211

This was a fast game marked by a number of turnovers for both teams, including many in the midfield (so the settled offenses were more efficient than this makes it seem – they just didn’t reach that point a lot).

Bellarmine dominated possession and was more efficient, so… that’s a guaranteed way to win a game (by definition). Detroit cleaned up some of the things they’d struggled with in previous games, but some of the consistent issues remained.

Notes

Top among those issues is a propensity for turning over the ball – including a ton of unforced errors. The Titans turned it over on 21 of 38 possessions, 10 of those unforced. That’s an unforced turnover more than a quarter of the time, and numbers like that won’t win you games.

“That’s something you try to address every day in practice, and we’re not getting it done,” said Titans coach Matt Holtz. “I think there’s a lot of mental decisions and mental errors, and we’re tired right now. We’ve played five games in less than three weeks, and that’s kind of the first thing to go. It’s not that we’re physically unable to make the plays, it’s that we’re tired and we make bad decisions on how to move to the ball, move to the passes, that sort of stuff.”

Those turnovers have plagued the Titans on and off for years now, and cleaning things up – as Holtz mentioned, they have the sticks to do so – would go a long way toward helping the team achieve their goals.

On account of those turnovers (plus a strong performance at the dot from Bellarmine), Detroit was at a severe possession deficit. I knew going in that UDM would give up the ball a few times on the clear, but I thought they’d be able to make up for it with a strong faceoff performance. At this point, I can’t predict that. Damien Hicks seems to be able to win the clamp (as does Tyler Corcoran), but the Titans can’t get the loose ball to the right spots, and the wing players get out-physicaled more often than not. With good faceoff specialists, the total has to be closer, if not an advantage night-in and night-out.

Offensively, the Titans seems to be dialing in their sticks. They still have some inaccurate shots, but they’re much less frequent (and those that don’t hit the cage are far closer to doing so). A little more fine tuning in time for conference play should be a huge factor.

“I thought we shot better, we didn’t get as many shots though [because of the possession deficit],” Holtz said. “That’s a better defense than we’ve seen in the last game or two, and they made it tough. It’s something we’ve been working on every day, and I think we did a better job. Some guys are trying to be less showy maybe, and just getting the job done, bringing it over the top, and getting a shot on cage.”

The pendulum on Detroit’s defense – as expected – swung back a bit toward the more aggressive play that we’ve seen make resurgences at the beginning of the conference season each year. 17 caused turnovers on 46 defensive possessions (.370) is plenty aggressive. Paul Bitetti once again led the team, this time notching five caused turnovers. Of course, when the Titans didn’t get the caused turnover, it left goalie Jason Weber – in his second-straight start – out to dry at times.

“Jason is a great goalie, and we’re going to go back and evaluate what we want to do,” Holtz said. “We’re kind of doing a king of the hill scenario almost, where you win and stay on, lose and we’re going to move on to the next guy. That really isn’t for the whole year, we’re just trying to evaluate three guys that we think really can get it done. We’ve seen that we’ve got some good stuff, and we’ve got some evaluation to do. We’ll figure out who’s going to start on Saturday, probably on Friday.”

Offensively, Detroit was led by Alex Maini (2G, 2A) and Scott Drummond (1G, 2A), with Mike Birney scoring two goals of his own. Maini was a culprit in the turnover game, with six to himself. Shayne Adams (who also scored a goal on just two shots) also committed three, while defensive midfielder JD Hess had two turnovers, with both unforced.

Detroit killed it on the EMO, converting on four of six chances, and they’ll have to take advantage of those chances, especially against a penalty-prone team like Bellarmine. In this one, it wasn’t going to be enough (though I didn’t realize that a three-man advantage would see all three penalties wiped out with a single score, which hurt Detroit in the comeback attempt).

Elsewhere

Boxscore. Detroit game recap. Photo gallery. Bellarmine game recap.

Up Next

Detroit travels to Staten Island this weekend to take on Wagner, and that should really be a win. The Titans will be prepared, because they have no class to distract them all week.

“It’s spring break for us, so we’ve got all the time in the world as far as when we can get out there and work with them,” Holtz said. “All the film’s cut, that’s what coaches end up doing until 3 o’clock in the morning. That’s all ready to go, it’s just putting the scouting report in tomorrow, get a lift in, practice on Thursday, head out and then practice out in Staten Island on Friday, and then go from there.”

Wagner did win last week (albeit against expansion team Monmouth), getting out of Reverse Survivor contention far earlier than ever before. Still, they’re not very good, and a team like Detroit – which is at the very least mediocre, and probably better as the season ticks along – should be able to handle them, even on the road.

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The Next Level: March 4, 2014

This week in high school players from Michigan moving on to college…

Air Force 4, VMI 6

  • Senior attack Tommy McKee (Holt) – Started, scored a Goal on two Shots, and picked up one ground ball. Also committed one penalty for 1:00.

Bellarmine 13, Furman 7

  • Freshman attack/midfield Graham Macko (Brother Rice) – Did not see game action.

Boston University 7, Providence 10
Boston University 9, Vermont 13

  • Freshman midfielder Greg Marzec (Brother Rice) – Did not see game action.

Delaware 11, Villanova 9

  • Junior midfielder Bennett Packer (Brother Rice) – Did not see game action.

Detroit 8, VMI 6

  • Junior attack Brandon Beauregard (Notre Dame Prep) – Started, recorded one Assist, took one Shot, and picked up three ground balls. Also committed two turnovers.
  • Freshman attack Kyle Beauregard (Notre Dame Prep) – Did not see game action.
  • Junior midfielder Mike Birney (Detroit Catholic Central) – Started, scored a Goal on nine Shots (four on goal), recorded one Assist, and picked up two ground balls. Also committed one turnover and one penalty for 1:00.
  • Junior defenseman Matt Burnett (Clarkston) – Did not see game action.
  • Redshirt senior midfielder Tyler Corcoran (South Lyon) – Played, but did not accrue any statistics.
  • Sophomore LSM Nick Demattia (Clarkston) – Played, but did not accrue any statistics.
  • Junior midfielder Scott Drummond (Birmingham Seaholm) – Started and scored a Goal on nine Shots (three on goal). Also committed one penalty for 0:30.
  • Redshirt freshman goalie Connor Flynn (Rockford) – Did not see game action.
  • Senior midfielder Nick Garippa (Notre Dame Prep) – Picked up one ground ball. Also committed one turnover.
  • Junior defenseman Joe Gifford (Notre Dame Prep) – Started and picked up one ground ball.
  • Freshman attack Alec Gilhooly (Detroit Catholic Central) – Played, but did not accrue any statistics.
  • Freshman midfielder Ben Gjokaj (Walled Lake Central) – Won 4/7 faceoffs, picking up one ground ball.
  • Redshirt freshman midfielder Brad Harris (Saline) – Did not see game action.
  • Sophomore midfielder Andy Hebden (Brother Rice) – Played, but did not accrue any statistics.
  • Redshirt freshman midfielder JD Hess (Birmingham Seaholm) – Picked up two ground balls. Also committed two turnovers.
  • Senior midfielder Joe MacLean (Detroit Country Day) – Caused one turnover.
  • Freshman defenseman Bryan Matney (Ann Arbor Pioneer) – Did not see game action.
  • Sophomore attack Nick Melucci (Northville) – Took one Shot.
  • Senior LSM Tim Robertson (Notre Same Prep) – Did not see game action.
  • Senior midfielder Drew Schupbach (Orchard Lake St. Mary’s) – Did not see game action.
  • Junior midfielder Thomas Sible (Forest Hills Central) – Played, but only made the scoresheet by committing one turnover.
  • Sophomore midfielder Mike Spuller (Dexter) – Picked up one ground ball. Also committed one turnover for 3:00.
  • Senior attack Tyler Staruch (Brighton) – Did not see game action.
  • Freshman attack Adam Susalla (Birmingham Seaholm) – Did not see game action.
  • Senior D/LSM Mike Wenderski (UD-Jesuit) – Did not see game action.
  • Sophomore defenseman Jordan Yono (Detroit Catholic Central) – Went 0/2 on faceoffs.

Georgetown 8, Hofstra 9

  • Senior midfielder Grant Fisher (Brother Rice) – Started, took one Shot, and picked up one ground ball. Also committed one turnover.

Hartford 12, Manhattan 7

  • Freshman defenseman Bennett Dipzinski (Forest Hills Northern) – Did not see game action.

Marquette 12, Marist 16

  • Redshirt sophomore midfielder K.C. Kennedy (Brother Rice) – Picked up one ground ball.
  • Sophomore attack Henry Nelson (Brother Rice) – Took one shot.

Michigan 14, Cornell 15 (OT)

  • Freshman midfielder Brian Archer (Brighton) – Did not see game action.
  • Junior defenseman Mack Gembis (Cranbrook) – Started, caused three turnovers, and picked up two ground balls.
  • Sophomore attack Riley Kennedy (Brother Rice) – Did not see game.
  • Junior attack Will Meter (Brother Rice) – Took two Shots (one on goal). Also committed one turnover.
  • Junior midfielder Thomas Orr (Detroit Catholic Central) – Played, but only made the scoresheet by committing three penalties for 5:00 (fouled out!).
  • Senior midfielder Tom Sardelli (Notre Dame Prep) – Did not see game action.
  • Senior LSM Dakota Sherman (Cranbrook) – Caused two turnovers and picked up three ground balls.
  • Sophomore defenseman Chris Walker (Brother Rice) – Started, but did not accrue any statistics.
  • Redshirt junior defenseman Max Zwolan (Ann Arbor Pioneer) – Did not see game action.

Notre Dame 11, North Carolina 10

  • Freshman midfielder Sergio Perkovic (Brother Rice) – Started, scored two Goals on eight Shots (six on goal), and picked up two ground balls.

Ohio State 8, Penn State 11

  • Senior midfielder Nick Diegel (Northville) – Did not see game action.

Penn 14, St. Joseph’s 4
Penn 12, Denver 10

  • Freshman goalie Ahmed Iftikhar (Detroit Country Day) – Did not see game action.

Richmond 5, UMBC 14

  • Freshman attack J.P. Forester (Brother Rice) – Started, took two Shots (one on goal), and picked up one ground ball. Also committed one turnover.

Robert Morris 12, Drexel 18

  • Freshman attack Kento Nakano (Rockford) – Did not see game action.

Rutgers 9, Stony Brook 12

  • Sophomore midfielder Jacob Coretti (East Grand Rapids) – Did not see game action.

Sacred Heart 10, Dartmouth 14

  • Junior midfielder Joe Kemp (Troy Athens) – Started, scored a Goal on two Shots, and went 10/27 on faceoffs, picking up seven ground balls. Also committed two turnovers.

St. John’s 14, Siena 9

  • Freshman midfielder David Stafford (Mattawan) – Did not see game action.

VMI 6, Detroit 8

  • Junior midfielder Andrew Erber (Dexter) – Scored one Goal on two Shots (one on goal) and picked up one ground ball. Also committed one turnover and one penalty for 0:30.

VMI 6, Air Force 4

  • Junior midfielder Andrew Erber (Dexter) – Took two Shots.

Yale 9, Bryant 8

  • Freshman midfielder John Lazarsfeld (Ann Arbor Greenhills) – Did not see game action.

For corrections, additions, etc., and to share statlines from other divisions, drop them in the comments.

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Scores and Schedule: March 4, 2014

The action is back today, with a D-1 contest on the men’s side and a couple women’s games in the lower divisions.

Today’s Schedule

Division-1 Men

Detroit v. Bellarmine. Noon @ Ultimate Soccer Pontiac. Preview.

Division-2 Women

Siena Heights @ Emmanuel (Ga.)

Division-3 Women

Olivet @ Hiram

Corrections, omissions, etc. always appreciated in the comments. Also use the comments for discussion of today’s action.

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Detroit Preview: Bellarmine

Coming off a win against VMI that was troubling (but less so than initially expected, given the Keydets’ subsequent win against Air Force), Detroit looks to right the ship with a return home. Unfortunately, the opponent is a good one in undefeated Bellarmine.

Bellarmine

Bellarmine Knights lacrosse

Fear the stylized Knights!

March 4, 2014. Noon EST
Ultimate Soccer Arenas Pontiac
Gameday Central. Live stats.
@DetroitTitans. @GreatLaxState. @BellarmineLax.
Detroit game preview. .pdf notes.

Tempo-Free Profile

The TempoFreeLax.com numbers displayed here are (finally) those from this season, since there’s enough data nationally that the numbers are pretty meaningful. The figures are also adjusted for strength of schedule, so Bellarmine’s No. 48 slate so far rounds things downwards a bit. That number should be a bit stronger by the end of the season, but for now, just know that Furman and Jacksonville are no great shakes.

Bellarmine 2013
Pace 65.33 (33)
Poss% 52.04 (22)
Off. Eff. 29.42 (38)
Def. Eff. 18.71 (5)
Pyth% 83.98 (11)

Bellarmine ended up with the best defense in the country last year, and the Knights aren’t far off the mark thus far in 2014. The raw number is better, but the competition (Nos. 42, 56, and 63 offenses faced) make it hard to know just how much of that is smoke and mirrors.

The offense is improved from last year – when it was terrible – but again the early-season jitteriness of the numbers is probably partly to blame. I do think they’ll be out of the bottom ten nationally, but a step to the middle is just that – one step.

Bellarmine is about dead center in pace, and despite being pretty poor on faceoffs is clearing (No. 4 nationally in percentage, with only two fails so far this year) and riding (No. 10 in percentage, albeit with half of their successful rides this season coming against Furman).

Put it all together and you have the No. 11 team in the country in the early going, though I do think that the Knights will slide back slightly when they see some of the tougher teams on the slate, and there’s a wider range of data.

Offense

A pair of freshmen attackmen dominate the offense, at least when it comes to putting the ball in the net. Tucker Ciessau and onetime Michigan commit Austin Shanks have ten and six goals, respectively, with nary a single assist between them. They are pure finishers, and probably do a lot of their work on the dodge – barely more than half of Bellarmine’s total goals this year are assisted.

Midfielders Chad Mitchell and Ryan Scinta provide some balance, with three goals and three assists apiece. They’re also the upperclassman leadership of the offense, a senior and junior, respectively. Mitchell has earned all three starts (Scinta hasn’t started yet this year, though he’s clearly getting significant time), and is shooting less accurately.

Beyond that top group, there are a number of players with similar production – two goals and an assist or vice versa – and they’re all listed at midfield. Clearly, some of them have to play attack, but are not listed as such. Ben Charpentier is the only listed attackman among them, but he’s not listed with any starts, either.

This is an offense that relies on a couple players to get the vast majority of its production, and against Detroit, the service from the midfielders should be slowed down. The titans are strongest at SSDM. That means Ciessau and Shanks might have to create for themselves… but I think they might be able to.

Defense

This is where Bellarmine has excelled the past couple seasons. Goalie Will Haas is certainly not Dillon Ward, but at least in this early going has not been a significant downgrade. Haas is saving .660 of shots faced (Ward was close at .662 last year), but that’s against some offenses that doesn’t have the type of firepower UDM has. This should be his biggest test yet this season.

Fortunately for Haas, he has some really good players to help him out. Sean Joyce started every game last year, and the 6-2, 200-pounder has the body to be an intimidator as a senior – he’s leading the team in caused turnovers thus far this season with six. Junior LSM Bobby Schmitt is one of the country’s most underrated players, and would be a star on a team with more publicity. Colin Hart started six games last year, and the junior has earned the nod in all three thus far this season. Both have five caused turnovers already.

The weak link should be sophomore Shane Healey, who had only three games’ experience (all off the bench) as a freshman. He has all three starts at close defense so far this year, but is clearly not as heralded as his teammates.

At this early juncture in the season, it’s tough – unless the school lists them as such – to know who’s a defensive specialist among the short-sticks. Daniel Zamora appears to be a lock as one (three GBs and a start, but he hasn’t shot the ball yet this season), and he’s getting his first-ever playing time as a junior. The defensive midfielders other than the LSM could be another weakness.

Detroit’s attackmen are very dangerous, but prone to giving the ball away. That’s… scary against a defense that plays the style Bellarmine does. They get out and force plenty of turnovers, like Detroit teams of recent vintage. They have some weak points, but Detroit’s depth on offense might not be good enough to make up for lost one-on-one battles if Detroit’s top lines can’t get the job done.

Special Teams

Bellarmine has not been a good faceoff team this year, but nor was VMI going into last weekend and they suddenly snapped into form. Look for a few players to get run, particularly if the Knights don’t see early success on draws. Senior Stephen Soriano has been most-deployed, and has won .448 on the year. Freshman Tyler Nangle has done slightly better, but on fewer opportunities (the differences at this point can be explained by small sample size). Detroit should be able to win possessions here.

Bellarmine has been an excellent clearing team this far this year, albeit against two really bad teams and one decent team (Robert Morris) that has not emphasized the ride at all. Detroit is capable of riding pretty heavily, and should be able to steal a couple possessions, but I wouldn’t expect the Titans’ transition defense to be a game-changer here.

What could be a game-changer is Bellarmine’s ride, which has been outstanding. That’s a change from last year, so part of the reasoning may be the competition faced (namely Furman), but look for the Knights to break out some tactics against a poor-clearing Detroit team that allow them to steal back the possessions they lose by having no ability to win faceoffs.

Bellarmine has committed slightly more penalties than opponents so far this year, and that should continue. While they’re mostly shutting the opposition down on the man-down (aided by Furman’s 2/10 performance), they’re not so hot themselves at converting with the man advantage.

Big Picture

Detroit’s non-conference is less about landing big trophies to put on the wall and more about tuning up and preparing for conference play. That’s not to say they don’t prioritize the games, but they’re hardly life-and-death. Detroit will want to work through some of their struggles while trying to win the game just as much as they’re trying to do it the other way around.

Bellarmine is an opponent that the Titans see pretty regularly, though the 0-5 mark to date against the Knights points out that they haven’t really solved the opponent quite yet. They’ve played often enough – including scrimmages (as recently as this fall) – to be rivals to a certain extent, but thus far it’s been a one-sided rivalry.

Predictions

Detroit hasn’t quite lived up to expectations yet, while Bellarmine has exceeded its own with a new netminder. That should play out in Pontiac tomorrow.

  • Detroit wins the faceoff battle, but only draws even in total possession thanks to Bellarmine’s heavy ride. Damien Hicks should be successful on draws, but if he’s not, Benjamin Gjokaj comes in and improves the performance there immediately.
  • Detroit sticks with Jason Weber in goal, giving him a chance to show his stuff against a more talented opponent than VMI. The Titans are still trying to settle on a goalkeeper, and he’ll get his opportunity to seize hold of the gig.
  • Detroit’s turnover troubles continue to plague the offense, but when they aren’t giving up the rock, the Titans are far more capable of canning the bean. The shooting accuracy (in terms of shots on goal – the jury is still out on whether Haas can play at an elite level and make that irrelevant) improves in a big way.
  • Detroit toys with a bit more of the pressure defense we’ve seen in recent years, helping decide if they should shift back toward that in MAAC play. It’s a move that we’ve seen them make each of the past two-three years, and they’ll at least give it a shot to see if they can pull it out in-conference. I would lean toward “no” without Jordan Houtby and Jamie Hebden in the lineup.
  • Detroit’s second midfielder (to date it’s been Scott Drummond, but it really depends who Bellarmine chooses to pole) has a pretty good game. The attack also manages to find some production despite two good close defenders for the Knights.

The way I see this one, Bellarmine’s strengths play right into Detroit’s weaknesses, and that’s not a great recipe for an upset. UDM has the ability to make this a better game than expected, but they haven’t stepped up to that level yet this year. They don’t get there tomorrow, and Bellarmine wins 13-7.

Share your predictions, discussion, etc. in the comments.

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Michigan 14, Cornell 15 (OT)

Michigan played neither horseshoes nor hand grenades in Oosterbaan Fieldhouse Saturday afternoon. Fortunately, I think the program is still young enough that a moral victory counts for something – just not in the record book.

Tempo Free

From the official box score, a look at the tempo-free stats:

Cornell 2014
Cornell Michigan
Faceoff Wins 15 Faceoff Wins 18
Clearing 19-22 Clearing 21-22
Possessions 38 Possessions 43
Goals 15 Goals 14
Offensive Efficiency .395 Offensive Efficiency .326

This was a fast-paced, up-and-down kind of game, the type Michigan fans have come to expect in Oosterbaan Fieldhouse, and the type that is very good for generating excitement about the sport.

U-M managed to build a healthy lead in possession, and was very game offensively. They just couldn’t get that last stop (after a chance to end the game without needing that stop) in overtime. Regardless of a loss counting in the record book no matter the final score, there was a lot to like out of Michigan.

Notes

Brad Lott went up against one of the most dangerous faceoff men in the country (for the second week in a row) and won that battle. It’s safe to say at this point that, when he’s healthy and available, he’s going to be a strong asset for Michigan on faceoffs, regardless of opponent. He won 18 of 33 (all against Doug Tesoriero), picking up ten ground balls himself, while allowing only five GBs for Tesoriero, and allowing just one assist to him – and Tesoriero has been a pretty big offensive threat in his career.

Michigan’s offense was balanced and wide-ranging, with seven different multi-point scorers. Kyle Jackson (4G, 0A) and Peter Kraus (3G, 1A) led the way with four apiece, Mike Francia had three (2G, 1A), while Doug Bryant and Ian King had two goals apiece, and David McCormack and Dan Kinek had two assists each. The U-M offense is rounding into form as one that can score from several different positions – including backups at those positions – and should continue to get better.

Michigan has been a bit of a volume shooting team in the recent past (with a couple strong midfielders and not a whole lot else), but that seems to be improving rapidly. It helps to add talent at attack like Ian King, but it seems the Wolverines are more able to make good decisions with the ball when it comes to launching on cage, and better at aiming for the scout on the opposing goalie. Only King (a very acceptable two goals on six shots, two on goal) shot a ton and didn’t score on at least half of them. Michigan’s shooting is efficient, and the offense as a whole should follow suit with more experience. Cornell goalie Brennan Donnville saved only eight shots while allowing 14 goals, and it sounds like the Michigan shooters played a big role in that by shooting to their scout on him.

Defensively, all reports have been that Robbie Zonino played very well, and at the very least gave his team a chance to win. That’s encouraging, but his numbers still aren’t great (.444 save%), so the defensive unit in front of him must have been very shaky. Still, if he plays that well against lesser opposition – even though they’re down from recent seasons, Cornell is a tough out – Michigan will be fine this season.

That defense, though. Nearly a .400 offensive efficiency for the opponent, and in a game where first-hand reports indicate Zonino played very well. That’s going to have to be shored up to a degree. Also Michigan might not be playing many more teams (with Penn State and Johns Hopkins in the rearview mirror) with that type of talent in the attack. Mack Gembis caused three turnovers and Dakota Sherman caused two for the Maize and Blue.

For Cornell, it was an attack-driven offense, no surprise given the thinness of Michigan’s lineup on close D thanks to injuries. The starting attack combined for nine goals and an assist, most of that production coming from Matt Donovan (5G) and Dan Lintner (3G). A dominating scorer at attack has long been the bugaboo of the Michigan defense, and it’s one they’ll have to deal with again soon. The Wolverines did pester Donovan into three turnovers and Lintner into two. Midfielder Connor Buzcek (2G, 2A) was also productive for the Big Red.

The Wolverines did indeed ride Cornell into more failed clears than they’d previously had all season (as predicted), and another aspect of the preview – that Michigan would have more EMO opportunities – also came true. However, I would have bet on the gap being bigger. Michigan had eight attempts to Cornell’s four, with each team converting half. U-M’s Thomas Orr fouled out, which may be the thing I most regret missing by not being in attendance.

Elsewhere

Boxscore. Michigan recap. Game highlights. Listen to the audio broadcast from Saturday’s action. Cornell recap. Maize n Brew recaps the action – though I take issue with “plays out of their minds.”

Up Next

Michigan has a two-game Southern swing on deck. The Wolverines start with a contest at High Point Wednesday, and follow that up by heading to the other Carolina Saturday to take on first-year program Furman. Michigan lost to High Point last year in a disappointing outcome, and this will obviously be the first contest against Furman.

The Wolverines’ goal should be to sweep the trip. That gets them some revenge on High Point for last year’s game, and just as importantly would return them to a record above .500 with a tough week against Bellarmine (on the road) and Maryland after that.

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Scores and Schedule: March 3, 2014

A bit of action yesterday, but nothing today. Fear not though, multiple mid-week games are on deck in the next few days.

Yesterday’s Scores

Division-1 Women

Detroit 9, Marquette 15

Division-2 Women

Siena Heights 19, St. Andrew’s 20 (OT)

Collegiate Club Men

Aquinas 18, Oakland 6
Grand Valley State 9, North Dakota State 7
Davenport v. Indiana – postponed
Western Michigan v. Purdue – postponed

Today’s Schedule

Nothing 🙁

Corrections, omissions, etc. always appreciated in the comments. Also use the comments for discussion of today’s action.

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Detroit 8, VMI 6

This game… it scares me about the rest of the season for the Titans. VMI went out and followed up the close call with a win over a decent Air Force squad today, but it’s still not the type of team you’re excited about beating with a fourth-quarter comeback. On its own, a win is a win. For what it means about the rest of the season, cracks are showing.

Tempo Free

From the official box score, a look at the tempo-free stats:

VMI 2014
Detroit VMI
Faceoff Wins 4 Faceoff Wins 12
Clearing 23-26 Clearing 20-25
Possessions 35 Possessions 40
Goals 8 Goals 6
Offensive Efficiency .229 Offensive Efficiency .150

Since both teams play pretty fast mostly on account of opponents’ scoring (and neither squad did much of that yesterday), this didn’t play out too speedy – but it was still above average in tempo. That tempo was mostly controlled by VMI thanks to faceoff wins.

Both defenses played well… or it’s probably more accurate (as we’ll see in a moment) to say both offenses played really, really poorly. A four-goal run by Detroit in the second half was the difference in the game, since the teams scored two apiece in each of the first three quarters.

Notes

Um, faceoffs? What? VMI entered the game as one of the worst faceoff teams in the nation, and even with a dominating performance against Detroit (75%), top specialist Mitch Wilson is a still a couple more great games from even sniffing .500. With Detroit’s quality on draws, they should have been able to win this battle. Damien Hicks went 0/7, Jordan Yono (who’s in there with getting draw wins probably not his top priority) 0/2, and only freshman Benjamin Gjokaj won a single attempt, cracking 50% at 4/7. Detroit has some good options, and if things aren’t going well, they should be able to change it up. A specialist shouldn’t be yanked for one loss, but if he’s winning and Hicks isn’t, I’d leave Gjokaj in the game.

The other aspect of possession went relatively well for the Titans. While they failed a couple clears, they held VMI to a 20/25 performance, which could have tipped possession in a big way with an average day on faceoffs. It’s a baby step back toward that heavy aggressive defense we’ve seen the Titans revert to each of the past few years, and something to watch when they enter conference play.

Offensively, something isn’t clicking right. Detroit turned it over 18 times on 35 possessions – more than half their opportunities with the ball – and it’s clear that, despite some players with good sticks, something is going wrong with valuing possession. The main culprit was Alex Maini (though I hardly blame a player who gets the burden of carrying the ball so much) with five, but eight other Titans turned it over as well. That includes two from Tom Masterson, Brandon Beauregard, Nick Garippa, and JD Hess.

Another issue for UDM – and another one that seems to be recurring – is shooting accuracy. Things were better in this one than they were against Robert Morris, but the Titans still aimed only 27 of 47 shots (.574) on cage. When the opposing keeper is having a great day, making 19 saves on those 27 SOGs, there has to be more urgency to be accurate (or scarier yet, you’re making things easier on him by lobbing the ball into his chest or missing completely).

Since defense was the name of the game, let’s look there first. Detroit caused nine turnovers on 40 VMI possessions (the Keydets chipped in eight more unforced) for a pretty good day. If the opponent can’t even get a shot off, they’re going to have a really tough time scoring – it’s science. Paul Bitetti had four forced TOs, the only Titan with multiple.

The key portion of the defense, however, was the goalie play. After the Michigan game, coach Matt Holtz mentioned that freshman Jason Weber would certainly get his opportunities (when eligible after violating team rules) to win the job, and Weber took a big step toward accomplishing that goal. He allowed just six goals and made 16 saves – including six in the decisive fourth quarter – of a two-goal game. Detroit’s offensive pressure petered out in the second half, but he helped what offense they could muster be the deciding factor.

Moving to that offense, there were some strong performances clustered among a small group of UDM players. Shayne Adams had three goals – though that came in nine(!) shots on goal and 11(!) total shots. Most of his scoring comes in close, and usually he’s not stuffed by the keeper so much. I would bet it’s a one-game anomaly. Alex Maini had four assists, but didn’t score himself on three shots, all on goal. Tom Masterson had two goals and two assists, and Mike Birney had one of each (with his custom of taking a ton of shots, only half of which are on cage).

The offense is there for Detroit, it just needs to be fine-tuned and executing needs to improve both when it comes to turning the ball over and the simple act of putting the ball in the goal (which, it must be noted, is the point of lacrosse). The midfield was more involved in this one than they had been in recent contests, and that should help open things up for the attack. Mike Birney is going to stretch a defense, but only if he’s a threat to score, not just whistle it over the keeper’s head.

VMI goalie Evan Windisch had a strong game in the loss, saving 19 shots and allowing just eight goals (though as mentioned above, I think some of that is execution mistakes by the Titans). Attack Ben Huger was involved on four of VMI’s six goals with one himself to go along with three assists.

Elsewhere

Official box scoreTFL boxscore. Detroit recap. VMI recap.

Up Next

I’ve revised expectations firmly downward for the Titans, at least until conference play begins in a few weeks. VMI is a really bad team, and to basically escape with a win against them is, frankly, something other bad teams will do. It doesn’t help matters that the next opponent is both coming to town on short rest for UDM and also really good. Detroit hosts Bellarmine at noon Tuesday inside Ultimate Soccer Arenas in Pontiac, and the Knights have been playing at a top-ten level early in the year. It’s a tall test, and one that we haven’t seen Detroit pass in recent years.

The goal for this season, like last year, will be to fine-tune things and get ready for a solid run through conference play in hopes of returning to the NCAA Tournament. It may be a tall task, but things looked even worse at this point last year – the Titans were 0-4 with some questionable losses (blowouts to Navy and Robert Morris), but got things together for MAAC play enough to squeeze into the conference championship and run through that for an NCAA berth. Things are looking the same for 2014.

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Scores and Schedule: March 2, 2014

A few results from yesterday, not much action today.

Yesterday’s Scores

Division-1 Men

Detroit 8, VMI 6
Michigan 14, Cornell 15 (OT)

Division-2 Women

Davenport 21, Georgetown (Ky.) 3

Division-3 Men

Albion 8, Augustana 5
Calvin 15, Defiance 1
Olivet 4, Oberlin 12
Alma 14, Southern Virginia 4

Division-3 Women

Kalamazoo v. Defiance – postponed
Calvin 8, Otterbein 15

Collegiate Club Men

Davenport v. Purdue – canceled
Michigan State 15, Indiana 5
Central Michigan 8, Miami (Ohio) 20
Grand Valley State 8, St. Thomas 12

Today’s Schedule

Division-1 Women

Detroit v. Marquette, noon @ Detroit Country Day

Division-2 Women

Siena Heights @ St. Andrew’s

Collegiate Club Men

Western Michigan v. Purdue, 1 p.m.
Oakland @ Aquinas, 2 p.m.
Grand Valley State @ North Dakota State
Davenport v. Indiana, 2 p.m.

Corrections, omissions, etc. always appreciated in the comments. Also use the comments for discussion of today’s action.

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Scores and Schedule: March 1, 2014

A few results from yesterday, not much action today.

Yesterday’s Scores

Division-1 Women

Michigan 10, Marquette 12

Division-3 Women

Alma 18, Linfield 6

Collegiate Club Men

Central Michigan 8, Pitt 15
Grand Valley State 11, St. John’s (Minn.) 15

Today’s Schedule

Division-1 Men

Detroit @ VMI, noon. Preview.
Michigan v. Cornell, 1 p.m. Preview.

Division-2 Women

Davenport @ Georgetown (Ky.)

Division-3 Men

Albion v. Augustana
Calvin v. Defiance
Olivet v. Oberlin
Alma @ Southern Virginia

Division-3 Women

Kalamazoo v. Defiance
Calvin @ Otterbein

Collegiate Club Men

Davenport v. Purdue
Michigan State v. Indiana @ Ultimate Soccer Pontiac
Central Michigan @ Miami (Ohio)
Grand Valley State @ St. Thomas

Corrections, omissions, etc. always appreciated in the comments. Also use the comments for discussion of today’s action.

Posted in division 1, division 2, division 3, mcla | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Comments Off on Scores and Schedule: March 1, 2014

Michigan Preview: Cornell

So Michigan is playing the team that was last year’s best in the nation by a pretty comfortable margin. Terrifying! Of course, this isn’t last year’s Cornell team, so things aren’t quite as grim as they seem.

Cornell

Cornell Big Red Lacrosse Logo

Bears: considered way scarier than the color red. FACT.

March 1, 2014. 1 p.m. EST
Oosterbaan FieldHouse. Ticket info.
Live Stats. Live audio.
@UmichLacrosse. @CornellLacrosse.
Michigan game preview. .pdf notes.
Cornell game preview. .pdf notes.

Tempo-Free Profile

The TempoFreeLax.com numbers displayed here are last year’s figures, though starting next year there should be enough data to start using numbers from this year. They are also adjusted for strength of schedule, which means Cornell gets the advantage statistically of having played the No. 11 schedule in the country last year. They went nuclear against some good teams.

Cornell 2013
Pace 74.72 (4)
Poss% 51.15 (21)
Off. Eff. 38.59 (6)
Def. Eff. 24.37 (5)
Pyth% 82.75 (1)

I’ll start with the only phase of the game Cornell didn’t dominate last year: possession. The Big Red were better at facing off and riding than that number would make you think, so it was a mediocre clear (just about in the middle of the country) that prevented them from being unbelievable in every aspect of the game.

As for the offense and defense, both speak for themselves. Cornell played tough competition in the Ivy League, along with games against Syracuse, UVa, Ohio State, Maryland, and Duke. They did well enough against that slate to be top-6 nationally on both sides of the ball.

Just as important, Cornell was darn fun to watch last year. They played at a really fast pace – which you can do when you’re awesome on both sides of the field and only OK in possession – and their games featured tons of action. They played in one game all year (an 8-9 loss to Bucknell) where both teams failed to hit double digits.

Add it all up, and you have a team that was 2.72% better than the No. 2 squad in the land (Hopkins). Cornell was really good last year, and as long as they don’t have huge personnel losses, they should be just as good in 2014.

Offense

So, uh, those personnel losses. The best player in college lacrosse is no longer with the Big Red, and Rob Pannell’s No. 2, fellow attackman Steve Mock, has also graduated. Nos. 4 and 6, midfielders Max Van Bourgondien and Connor English, are also gone. Yes, four of the top six scorers (among nine total double-digit point-scorers) are gone. That’s 240 of Cornell’s 401 total points from that quartet alone. Going down the full list, another 15 points were accounted for by depth/defensive/etc. players.

Pannell alone scored or assisted on nearly 40% of goals for one of the best offenses in the country. You just can’t replace that guy overnight.

Cornell of course, doesn’t have a choice, and they’ll roll with the guys who are still around. Senior attack Dan Lintner has led the way thus far with 10 goals (and zero assists), and junior linemate Matt Donovan isn’t far behind him with six goals and three helpers. Junior midfielder John Hogan has four goals and two assists right behind that duo.

This is where small sample sizes can distort things, because Joe Paoletta, listed as a short-stick defensive midfielder on the Big Red’s roster, is No. 4 on the team in points with a goal and three assists. Either he’s playing more offense than you’d expect based on his roster listing (or that roster listing is wrong – which I suspect is the case with only one GB on the year) or early-season weirdness will shake itself out. It looks like Paoletta started one game at attack, with senior Connor Entenmann getting the honor in their other contest.

The No. 5 scorer (three assists) is FOGO Doug Tesoriero, so look for the Big Red to generate some of their offense by winning draws cleanly.

Connor Buczek, a junior midfielder, has three goals and no assists thus far on the year. He’s the leading returning scorer from last year (35 goals and 18 assists), so expect his role to result in more production over time. He has been shooting a lot, but not particularly accurately to date with only 10 SOGs in his 18 shots, with the three finding twine. Sophomore midfielder Andrew Keith has just one goal on the year, but has started both games for Cornell.

Through two games, the offense has been far less prolific that last year’s (duh), and against two defenses (Hobart and Binghamton) that were pretty bad last year. The jury is still out, but leaning toward the expected huge dropoff. This is still an attack-driven offense, but without Pannell, one that’s likely to be far less dependent on a single dominating attackman. That’s a good thing for Michigan, which is still looking for that true shutdown defender to stick on the best offensive player on the other team. There’s a bit more balance in the scoring, but those who are stepping up are inexperienced to date, and have just two games under their belts. Early in the season is the right time to catch Cornell.

Defense

The defense was also excellent last year. Goalie A.J. Fiore, who started every game last year, has graduated. To date, new starter Brennan Donnville has saved exactly half the (few) shots he’s faced, allowing 16 total goals. He played about 38 minutes last year in relief of Fiore, saving .385 of shots faced and allowing 12.37 goals per 60 minutes. He’s going to be a downgrade from Fiore, who was at .517 through last season – against much tougher competition during the course of the year than Donnville has seen yet this year.

Senior Tom Freshour, freshman Marshall Peters (listed at LSM but with both starts so far this season), and junior Jordan Stevens are the starting defense. Stevens and Peters have caused four and two turnovers, respectively, the only members of the Big Red with more than one CT to their credit. Stevens is also the non-FOGO leader in ground balls to dat this season. Cornell is replacing LSM Thomas Keith (non-FO ground ball leader in 2013) and Jason Noble in the defense, with Freshour and Stevens returning starters. The LSM spot – or third close D if Peters is truly playing LSM – is a huge question mark.

In the short-sticks, Cornell must replace Tom Trasolini, who was last year’s third-leading (non-FO) ground ball man. Mike O’Neil seems to have been the top options to date (with limited evidence this far, to be fair), but likely won’t live up to Trasolini’s high standard.

Cornell lost a ton defensively – not as much as on offense, but still some of the more established players – and could be somewhat vulnerable to a Michigan offense that is rounding into potent form. Binghamton and Hobart – hardly Johns Hopkins – both put up eight goals apiece in relatively competitive games.

Special Teams

Possession was the one area in which Cornell was not elite last year, and that stands to improve this season, albeit as many of the other units take a step back. Doug Tesoriero won .581 of his draws last year – other specialists combined to win just .368 – and has outdone that so far with a .723 mark (albeit against two teams that have a recent history of pretty poor performance on the dot). Michigan’s Brad Lott has shown he can do very well even against the best – Hopkins’s Drew Kennedy – and I wouldn’t worry about faceoffs too much.

Cornell was barely above the national average in clearing last year, which is a little odd given the level of talent on the squad. This year, they’ve failed only twice in 32 attempts (elite, albeit with a small sample size). In fairness, Binghamton and Hobart were both among the five worst-riding teams in the country last season. Michigan has shown the ability to ride heavy – and that will be more true than ever in Oosterbaan Fieldhouse – and could pull it out against Cornell. The Big Red had a top-10 ride last year, and the raw value thus far is a little better than last year’s mark.

Cornell has already committed 12 penalties in two games, so they’re far from a clean team. That’s a little odd, given their limited number of caused turnovers (12 in 58 opponent possessions), but made a little clearer when you realize two against Binghamton (an illegal equipment call and an offsides) were not physical infractions. Still, four in each game isn’t exactly clean.

HOWEVER, opponents have scored only twice in their 12 opportunities. Coming the other way, Cornell has cashed in on six of its eight man-up chances. Cornell’s far more likely to make an opponent pay than vice versa, so even if they play plenty of man-down, it may not be an advantage for Michigan.

Big Picture

Michigan might be another year or two from consistently competing with programs like Cornell (at least in a down year – hardly anybody is consistently competing with them when Pannell’s on the roster). However, the Wolverines may be catching the Big Red at the right time.

Cornell has played only two games so far, while Michigan has played four. The Big Red are adjusting to life without Rob Pannell, without Steve Mock, without A.J. Fiore, without Thomas Keith. That might take more than two games. Cornell could be poised for an upset.

If it were to happen, that would be the biggest victim in Michigan’s program history. It would also give Michigan the chance to get multiple games above .500 with roadies against High Point and Furman on the horizon. Even if the Wolverines keep it close, that could be enough positive momentum to help build for the rest of the year.

Predictions

Michigan is a lot better than last year. Cornell is a lot (probably) worse than last year. Will that be enough to close the gap between the teams, though?

  • Even though Doug Tesoriero is one of the country’s best faceoff men, U-M’s Brad Lott is right up there, as well. This should be a great battle, and based on Lott’s performance against Hopkins, one Michigan should have a slight edge in. I do think Cornell will get a fastbreak or two out of the exchange (even in game’s he’s dominated, Lott has given up a couple of those), but Michigan wins the battle at midfield.
  • Michigan’s decent ride, combined with Cornell’s so-so clear (historically) and the cozy confines of Oosterbaan Fieldhouse, should see the Wolverines force more failed clears in one game than the Big Red has all season. Since that number would be “three,” it’s an accomplishment that isn’t super-significant.
  • Cornell will have an attackman go off in this game, and given the season to date, it’s probably Lintner, with Donovan probably having a decent outing himself.
  • The goalkeeping battle will be closer to the Mercer/Detroit parity than the “we’re playing against Austin Kaut or Eric Schneider” huge advantage for the opposition. Despite that, until Robbie Zonino shows he can control a game, slight edge goes to the other squad.
  • Keys for Michigan will be slowing down the game a bit against a fast, explosive Cornell team, and making the most of their good looks offensively. They should get some with a relatively inexperienced Cornell D, and need to put those shots on the cage. Enough will find their way past the keeper.

The Hopkins game was a tough one for Michigan for several reasons, not least of which was the two-day preparation time. With that in mind (and an upset unlikely from the get-go), I think the Wolverines may have spent more time than normal preparing to play Cornell. That may have hurt against Hopkins, but helps against the Big Red. The program still isn’t quite close enough to steal the win, however. Michigan falls in a close one (that still opens some eyes), 13-11.

Share your predictions, discussion, etc. in the comments.

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